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International Journal of Drug Policy

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match International Journal of Drug Policy's content profile, based on 11 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Closing the Survival Gap: Population-Level Impacts of Digitally-Coordinated Naloxone Distribution on Opioid-Involved Mortality in the Texas Gulf Coast

Goodman, M. L.; Maknojia, S.; Sciba, A.; Robertson, D.; Keiser, P.

2026-04-27 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.24.26351679 medRxiv
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Background: Opioid-related mortality in Texas has escalated dramatically, increasingly driven by illicitly manufactured fentanyl. To address local surges in mortality, the Galveston County Health District deployed the Galveston County Opioid Defense Effort (GCODE) in July 2023, leveraging digitally integrated surveillance data from emergency medical services (EMS) and the Medical Examiner to provide targeted naloxone distribution in identified overdose hot spots. Methods: Using a segmented interrupted time series (ITS) design and Poisson regression with robust standard errors, we evaluated the population-level impact of GCODE on opioid-involved mortality through the end of 2025. Data were sourced from the Galveston Area Ambulance Authority (GAAA) and vital statistics (ICD-10 codes). We assessed mortality trajectory changes, the observed fatality ratio among EMS-detected opioid events (the Survival Gap), and demographic and geographic covariates. Results: The Poisson ITS model included 519 weekly observations (N = 14,827 tract-weeks across 101 census tracts). Pre-intervention, opioid mortality increased by 0.16% weekly (IRR = 1.0016; 95% CI: 1.000-1.003; p = 0.011). Following GCODE deployment, the mortality trajectory reversed to a sustained 0.55% weekly decrease (IRR = 0.9945; 95% CI: 0.990-0.999; p = 0.021). The observed fatality ratio among EMS-detected events declined from 7.59% (preintervention mean; SD = 0.111) to 1.71% (post-intervention; SD = 0.042; Chi^2 = 19.824; p = 0.0001). Opioid decedents were significantly younger than the general mortality population (OR = 0.945 per year of age; p < 0.001), and were descriptively more likely to lack documented race/ethnicity data (41.23% vs. 8.27% Unknown; p < 0.001), limiting equity analysis. Conclusions: The findings are consistent with GCODE having meaningfully reduced opioid mortality by substantially lowering event-level lethality. These results suggest that targeted, digitally coordinated harm reduction can decouple overdose incidence from fatal outcomes, with implications for harm reduction program design in structurally constrained environments.

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Fentanyl Purity and Overdose Decline: A Reexamination of Geographic Trends

Dasgupta, N.; Sibley, A. L.; Gildner, P.; Gora Combs, K.; Post, L. A.; Tobias, S.; Kral, A. H.; Pacula, R. L.

2026-04-24 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351605 medRxiv
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Drug overdose deaths in the United States reached record levels during the fentanyl era before recently declining. A plausible hypothesis is that a sudden drop in fentanyl purity beginning in 2023 caused the downturn in overdose mortality. We evaluated this hypothesis by replicating a published analysis with regional overdose data, using models that account for time trends and autocorrelation, and negative control indicators to test for spurious correlation. When fentanyl purity was rising, the national purity series did not track overdose increases in most regions and showed only a modest association in the West. When both purity and mortality later declined, the observed associations were also seen with unrelated macroeconomic indicators that shared the same time pattern. National fentanyl purity alone does not provide a sufficient explanation for recent overdose declines.

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Family-supervised disulfiram as a culturally grounded model for alcohol use disorder treatment in Sri Lanka: a pilot randomized controlled trial

Rajasuriya, M.; Chulasiri, P.; Ratnayake, P.; Plevin, D.

2026-04-27 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.04.25.26350029 medRxiv
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Objectives: To evaluate the effectiveness and cultural feasibility of family-supervised disulfiram as a first-line treatment for alcohol use disorder (AUD) in Sri Lanka, and to compare its clinical outcomes with standard therapy delivered at a tertiary psychiatric unit. Design: Single-blind Randomized Controlled Trial known as ETAT-RCT (Efficacy of Two Alcohol Treatments) was conducted under routine clinical setup with three parallel groups: family-supervised disulfiram, locally developed psychosocial intervention, and routine treatment. Allocation was independently concealed; assessors were blinded. Analyses followed an intention-to-treat approach using repeated-measures ANOVA (group x time). This paper reports the disulfiram (test) versus routine treatment (control) comparison; the psychosocial intervention will be reported separately. Setting: University Psychiatry Unit, National Hospital of Sri Lanka, Colombo (UPU, NHSLC). Participants: Patients aged [&ge;]14 years with AUD presenting to the unit were recruited consecutively without inducements. Planned allocation ratio was 1:1:1 with 31 participants per arm; key exclusions were lifetime psychotic disorder and current contraindication to disulfiram. Randomisation: Participants were randomised into each treatment arm using an independent concealed paper-based allocation system. Intervention: (1) family-supervised disulfiram, with psychoeducation/support only - DT arm, (2) a locally developed denormalization focused psychosocial programme - PT arm, and (3) standard therapy (motivational/cognitive/behavioural input; naltrexone permitted; no disulfiram/denormalisation) - ST arm. Outcome measures: Primary outcome was Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT) score at 12 months. Key secondary outcomes were past 30 day alcohol use via Timeline Follow-Back (TLFB); alcohol biomarkers [ALT (alanine aminotransferase), {gamma}-GT (gamma-glutamyl transferase), MCV (mean corpuscular volume)]; locally developed measures of addiction-relevant cognitive, affective, behavioural factors [AARSU (Attitude Assessment Related to Substance Use), BARSU (Behaviour Assessment Related to Substance Use)]; and Quality of Life Enjoyment and Satisfaction Questionnaire Short Form (Q-LES-Q-SF). Outcomes were assessed at baseline, 6, and 12 months. Results: Participants in DT (n=33) and ST (n=38) were comparable at baseline. Both groups showed clinically and statistically significant improvement in AUDIT scores over 12 months (DT: F=39.90, p<0.001; ST: F=49.90, p<0.001), with no group x time interaction (F<0.001, p=0.98). Biomarkers and AARSU, and BARSU and Q-LES-Q-SF to a lesser degree, mirrored the AUDIT pattern. TLFB did not change significantly over time in either arm (p>0.05). In moderator analyses, improvement in AUDIT was not moderated by baseline motivation (F=0.20, p=0.89) but was moderated by baseline AUD severity (F=7.70, p=0.007). No serious adverse events were attributed to disulfiram. Adherence to supervised dosing was generally high during periods of supervision but intermittent overall. Conclusions: In this pilot RCT, family-supervised disulfiram achieved 12-month outcomes comparable to standard therapy in a tertiary Sri Lankan setting. Improvements were independent of baseline motivation and varied by baseline AUD severity. These findings may support family-supervised disulfiram as a culturally feasible first-line option in Sri Lanka; larger, adequately powered multicentre trials are warranted to confirm effectiveness and scalability. Trial registration: SLCTR/2014/021

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Exploring the Relationship Between Non-Suicidal Self-Injury and Problematic Sexual Behaviour

Jiang, S.; Foo, J. C.; Roper, L.; Yang, E.; Green, B.; Arnau, R.; Behavioral Addictions Studies and Insights Consortium, ; Lodhi, R. J.; Isenberg, R.; Wishart, D. S.; Fujiwara, E.; Carnes, P. J.; Aitchison, K. J.

2026-04-25 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351044 medRxiv
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Objectives: Non-suicidal self-injury (NSSI) and self-harming sexual behaviours share functional and behavioural overlaps. However, the relationship between NSSI and problematic sexual behaviour (PSB) remains underexplored. This study aimed to investigate the association between NSSI and PSB in two cohorts - a non-clinical university cohort and a clinical PSB patient cohort. Methods: Data were collected from 2,189 university participants and 477 clinical PSB patients. NSSI was assessed via self-report, and PSB was measured with the Sexual Addiction Screening Test-Revised (SAST-R) Core. The four core addictive dimensions of PSB: relationship disturbance, loss of control, preoccupation, and affect disturbance, were also evaluated. Logistic regression analyses were conducted to examine the association between PSB (presence/absence and severity) and NSSI, looking at effects of gender and contributions of addictive dimensions of PSB. Results: Rates of NSSI were similar in the university (7.1%) and patient (5.7%) cohorts; stratified by gender, a higher proportion of women PSB patients had NSSI compared to in the university cohort (29.3% vs 9.3%). In the university group, who had milder PSB than patients, PSB was associated with NSSI (OR=2.11, p<0.001); a significant gender by PSB interaction was found showing that women with PSB were over four times more likely to have NSSI than men without PSB (OR=4.44, p=0.037). In contrast, PSB severity was not associated with NSSI in PSB patients (OR=1.10, p=0.25). Associations of the addictive dimensions of PSB with NSSI were observed only in the subgroup of university women, in the 'preoccupation' dimension (p<0.001). Conclusions: Our findings highlight gender-specific patterns in the association between PSB and NSSI, suggesting the need for further research and possibly targeted prevention and intervention strategies in women.

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Global burden of stigma and discrimination against transgender and gender-diverse adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Barre-Quick, M.; Yeh, P. T.; Kennedy, C. E.; Azuma, H.; McLellan, C.; Cooney, E. E.

2026-04-23 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351490 medRxiv
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Abstract Importance Stigma and discrimination against transgender and gender-diverse people are prevalent across many settings and may contribute to substantial health disparities. Objective To synthesize global evidence on the prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and resilience among transgender (trans) and gender-diverse adults. Data Sources A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Central, LILACS, and PsycInfo for articles published between January 1, 2010 and January 2, 2023. This database search was supplemented by grey literature and secondary reference searches. Article Selection Studies were eligible if they presented primary quantitative data on prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and/or resilience among trans and gender-diverse adults (aged 18 and over), with no restrictions on study design, language, or geographic region. Data Extraction and Synthesis Two independent reviewers extracted data using standardized forms, with discrepancies resolved by consensus. The JBI Critical Appraisal Checklist for Prevalence Articles was used to assess risk of bias. Random effects meta-analysis was conducted for dichotomous prevalence measures using inverse variance weighting and logit transformation; non-dichotomous prevalence data were summarized descriptively. Main Outcomes and Measures Outcomes included prevalence estimates for various forms of stigma (anticipated, perceived, internalized, and experienced), discrimination in legal/institutional settings (housing, healthcare, employment, police/prison), and resilience. Results A total of 97 articles, with data from 72,158 unique trans and gender-diverse participants across 26 countries, met inclusion criteria. Studies showed moderate levels of anticipated stigma, perceived stigma, and internalized stigma. Meta-analyses of 36 studies provided pooled estimates of discrimination prevalence across multiple domains: 21.4% in housing (e.g., eviction, rental denial), 24.6% in healthcare (e.g., denial of care, mistreatment), 32.8% in employment (e.g., hiring bias, workplace harassment), and 39.1% in police/prison settings (e.g., profiling, mistreatment). High heterogeneity was observed across studies, reflecting regional and methodological differences. Resilience scores ranged from moderate to high, indicating variation within trans and gender-diverse communities. Conclusions and Relevance This systematic review and meta-analysis found that stigma and discrimination against trans and gender-diverse adults are pervasive globally. Variation in stigma and discrimination across settings and regions underscores the need for targeted interventions and policy reforms. Funding World Health Organization through a grant from the Elton John AIDS Foundation and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.

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Association of sexual orientation outness and recent homophobic violence with not being on antiretroviral treatment: Analysis of a Latin American Survey in men who have sex with men living with HIV

ENCISO DURAND, J. C.; Silva-Santisteban, A. A.; Reyes-Diaz, M.; Huicho, L.; Caceres, C. F.; LAMIS-2018,

2026-04-23 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351515 medRxiv
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Objectives: In Latin America, up-to-date information to monitor UNAIDS 95-95-95 HIV targets in key populations, such as men who have sex with men, is limited. Elsewhere, structural homophobia restricts access to ART. Conceptual frameworks suggest that intersecting forms of violence and discrimination may negatively influence HIV care outcomes through psychosocial and structural pathways, although empirical evidence remains limited. The study aimed to assess whether sexual orientation outness and recent homophobic violence are associated with not being on ART among Latin American MSM living with HIV. Methods: This cross-sectional study is a secondary analysis of data from LAMIS-2018, including 7,609 MSM aged 18+ with an HIV diagnosis [&ge;]1 year prior from 18 Latin American countries. Participants self-reported ART status, sociodemographic characteristics, homophobic violence, and sexual orientation outness. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regressions identified those factors associated with not being on ART. Results: Nine percent of MSM with HIV were not on ART, 18% reported low sexual orientation outness, and 27% experienced homophobic violence, especially in Andean and Central American countries. Not being on ART was associated with recent homophobic violence (aPR=1.25), low outness (aPR=1.22), unemployment (aPR=1.27), and residence in the Andean subregion (aPR=1.87), Mexico (aPR=1.28), or the Southern Cone (aPR=1.45) versus Brazil. Protective factors included being older (25-39: aPR=0.72; >39: aPR=0.49), living in large cities (aPR=0.72), having a stable partner (aPR=0.78), and university education (aPR=0.74). Conclusions: Recent homophobic violence and low sexual orientation outness were associated with not being on ART among MSM in Latin America. While access varies across countries, structural factors such as stigma and violence may limit engagement in care. Addressing these barriers alongside strengthening health systems may be key to improving ART uptake and advancing progress toward the 95-95-95 targets.

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Peer support boosted Hepatitis C treatment access among marginalised populations in England: A Bayesian causal factor analysis.

Schmidt, C.; Samartsidis, P.; Seaman, S.; Emmanouil, B.; Foster, G.; Reid, L.; Smith, S.; De Angelis, D.

2026-04-22 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351261 medRxiv
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To minimise health disparities, equitable access to medical treatment is paramount. In a pioneering intervention, National Health Service Englands Hepatitis C virus (HCV) programme has implemented country-wide peer support to boost treatment access. Peer support workers (peers) are individuals with relevant lived experience, who promote testing and treatment in marginalised populations underserved by traditional health services. We evaluated the English peers intervention, exploiting its staggered rollout and rich surveillance data between June 2016 and May 2021. Peers increased HCV cases identified by 13{middle dot}9% (95% credible interval (95% CrI) [5{middle dot}3, 21{middle dot}7]), sustained viral responses by 8{middle dot}0% (95% CrI [-4{middle dot}4, 18{middle dot}6]), and drug services referrals by 8{middle dot}8% (95% CrI [-12{middle dot}5, 22{middle dot}6]). The interventions effectiveness was magnified during the first COVID-19 lockdown and individuals supported by peers typically belonged to populations with poor treatment access. Our findings indicate that peers can boost equity in treatment access on a national scale.

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International Adaptation of a brief Problem-Solving Skills (the IAPPS trial) training for people in custody with severe mental illness in Poland: an open multicentred, parallel group, feasibility randomised controlled trial.

Perry, A. E.; Zawadzka, M.; Rychlik, J.; Hewitt, C.

2026-04-25 forensic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.24.26351654 medRxiv
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Objectives: The primary aim of this study was to assess the feasibility of delivering an adapted problem-solving skills (PSS) intervention by quantifying the recruitment, follow-up and completion rates using a brief problem-solving intervention for people with a mental health diagnosis in two Polish prisons. Design: IAPPS is an open, multi-centred, parallel group feasibility randomised controlled trial (RCT). Setting: Two prisons in Poland. Participants: Men in custody aged 18 years and older, having a mental illness and living within the prison therapeutic unit. Interventions: The intervention consisted of an adapted PSS skills intervention plus care as usual (CAU) or care as usual only. Delivered in groups of up to five people in 1.5-hour sessions over the course of two weeks. Main outcome measures: Primary outcomes - rate of recruitment, follow-up, and feasibility to deliver the intervention. Secondary outcomes included measures of depression, general mental health, and coping strategies. Results: 129 male prisoners were screened, 64 were randomly allocated, with a mean age of 53.5 years (SD 14, range 23-84). 59 (95%) prisoners were of Polish origin. Our recruitment rate was 48%. There was differential follow up with those in the intervention group less likely to complete the post-test battery versus those who received care as usual. Outcome measures were successfully collected at both time points. Conclusions We were able to recruit, retain and deliver the intervention within the prison setting; some logistical challenges limited our assessment of intervention engagement. Our data helps to demonstrate how use of the RCT study design can be implemented and delivered within the complex prison environment. Trial registration number ISRCTN 70138247, protocol registration date May 2021

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Regular cannabis use is associated with altered neural and behavioural responses during anticipation and feedback of monetary reward and loss

Lombardi, G.; Blest-Hopley, G.; Tarantini, M. M.; O'Neill, A.; Wilson, R.; O'Daly, O.; Giampietro, V.; Bhattacharyya, S.

2026-04-24 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351366 medRxiv
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Regular cannabis use has been associated with alterations in reward-related neural processes, yet findings remain inconsistent and the relationship between neural activity and behavioural performance is not fully understood. The present study aimed to characterise neural and behavioural correlates of reward processing in regular cannabis users (CU) compared with matched non-users (NU) using the Monetary Incentive Delay Task (MIDT). Firstly, we assessed behavioural performance through reaction times, accuracy and monetary earnings to determine whether potential neural alterations were reflected in task performance. Secondly, focusing on reward-related brain regions, we examined group differences in BOLD functional MRI activity during anticipation and outcome phases separately for monetary win and loss conditions. Finally, we explored the association between behavioural performance and neural activation. Our findings indicate that regular cannabis use is associated with altered engagement of key nodes within the mesocorticolimbic circuit during both anticipatory and outcome phases of reward processing, accompanied by impaired behavioural performance. Particularly, compared with NU, CU showed (I) lower striatal activity during anticipation of monetary win and higher ventral striatum and frontal pole activity during anticipation of monetary loss; (II) greater VTA activation during outcome of successful monetary win and loss avoidance and lower frontal pole activity during outcome of unsuccessful loss avoidance; (III) impaired behavioural performance, reflected in lower monetary rewards and a trend towards slower reaction times and reduced accuracy; (IV) disrupted brain-behaviour coupling. Results from this study may help inform future research on the neurobiological mechanisms underlying changes in reward function and the resultant behavioural consequences of cannabis use.

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Stakeholder perspectives on the use of enhanced mobile phone capabilities for public health surveillance for non-communicable disease risk factors: A qualitative study

Mwaka, E. S.; Nabukenya, S.; Kasiita, V.; Bagenda, G.; Rutebemberwa, E.; Ali, J.; Gibson, D.

2026-04-23 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351443 medRxiv
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Background: Mobile phone-based tools are increasingly used to collect data on non-communicable disease (NCD) risk factors, particularly in low-resource settings where traditional data collection systems face operational and infrastructural constraints. This study examined stakeholder perspectives on the use of enhanced mobile phone-based capabilities to support the collection of public health surveillance data on NCD risk factors in low-resource settings. Methods: An exploratory qualitative study was conducted between November 2022 and July 2023. Twenty in-depth interviews were conducted with public health specialists, ethicists, NCD researchers, health informaticians, and policy makers in Uganda. Thematic analysis was used to interpret the results. Results: Four themes emerged from the data, including benefits of using mobile phone capabilities for NCD risk factor data collection; ethical, legal, and social implications; perceived challenges of using such mobile phone capabilities; and proposed solutions to improve the utility of phone-based capabilities in data collection on NCD risk factors. Participants recognized the potential of mobile technologies to improve data collection efficiency and expand access to hard-to-reach populations. However, concerns emerged regarding inadequate informed consent, risks to privacy and confidentiality, unclear data ownership, and vulnerabilities created by inconsistent enforcement of data protection laws. Social concerns included low digital literacy, unequal access to mobile devices, and fear of stigmatization. Participants emphasized the need for transparent communication, robust data governance, and community engagement. Conclusion: Mobile phone-based systems can strengthen the collection of NCD risk factor data in low-resource settings; however, their benefits depend on addressing key ethical, legal, and social challenges. To ensure responsible deployment, digital health initiatives must prioritize participant autonomy, data protection, equity, and trust building. Integrating contextualized ethical, legal, and social considerations into design and policy frameworks will be essential to leveraging mobile technologies in ways that support inclusive and effective NCD prevention and control.

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The Evolution and Equity of Chinas Pharmacist Workforce in Healthcare Institutions: A Provincial Panel Data Analysis, 2007-2023 Evolution and equity of China's pharmacist workforce

xia, y.; Sun, L.; Zhao, Y.

2026-04-23 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351514 medRxiv
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Background: China has implemented policies to strengthen its pharmacist workforce since the 2009 healthcare reform, yet a comprehensive evaluation of their long-term systemic effects is lacking. Objective: To systematically analyze the evolution of Chinas pharmacist workforce in healthcare institutions from 2007 to 2023 across four dimensions: quantity, quality, structure, and distribution, providing an empirical foundation for policy optimization. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted using longitudinal data from the China Health Statistics Yearbooks. Trends were delineated via descriptive statistics. Equity and spatial evolution were assessed using the Gini coefficient, Theil index decomposition, and spatial autocorrelation analyses (Global Morans I and hotspot analysis). Results: From 2007 to 2023, the total number of pharmacists increased from 357,700 to 569,500 (average annual growth: 2.2%). This growth lagged behind physicians (4.6%) and nurses (7.4%), causing the pharmacist-to-physician ratio to decline from 1:5.15 to 1:8.39. The workforce showed trends of feminization (female proportion rose from 59.7% to 70.8%) and aging. While quality improved, 51.1% still held an associate degree or below, and only 6.6% held senior titles. Equity analysis revealed the provincial Gini coefficient improved from 0.145 to 0.093. Theil index decomposition confirmed intra-provincial disparities as the primary inequality driver. Spatial analysis showed a non-significant global Morans I by 2023 (0.154, P*>0.05), down from 0.254 (P<0.01) in 2007. Hotspot analysis confirmed this transition, revealing a contraction of high-confidence clusters and a trend toward balanced distribution. Conclusions: China has made measurable progress in expanding pharmacist workforce size and improving inter-provincial equity since 2007. However, persistent structural challenges remain: relative workforce contraction compared to other health professions, an aging demographic, a shortage of senior talent, and significant intra-provincial inequity. Future policies must prioritize optimizing workforce structure and enhancing clinical service capabilities to catalyze a shift toward patient-centered pharmaceutical care.

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Practical alcohol risk-reduction advice plus a brief commitment declaration in a social drinking laboratory: a pilot cluster randomized trial

Yoshimoto, H.; Hadano, T.; Shimada, K.; Gosho, M.; Fukuda, T.; Komano, Y.; Umeda, K.; Iwase, M.; Kusano, Y.; Kawabata, T.

2026-04-21 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.19.26351067 medRxiv
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BackgroundPractical alcohol risk-reduction strategies are widely recommended in public-facing alcohol guidance, but randomized evidence from socially interactive drinking episodes remains limited. We conducted a pilot cluster randomized trial to evaluate the feasibility and preliminary effects of a package intervention comprising practical drinking-strategy information, participant self-selection of same-day strategies, and a brief commitment declaration in a social drinking laboratory. MethodsThis single-center, parallel-group pilot trial was conducted in Japan. Pre-existing social groups participated. One or two groups scheduled in the same session slot were combined into a time-slot allocation unit, which was randomized 1:1 either to the package intervention or to alcohol-related knowledge only. The primary outcome was total pure alcohol intake during the first 120 min. Session satisfaction on a Visual Analog Scale (VAS) was a prespecified secondary participant-experience outcome. ResultsOf 83 interested individuals, 63 were randomized and 59 participants in 17 social groups and 12 allocation units were included in the modified intention-to-treat analysis. The mean paired intervention-control difference for 120-min alcohol intake was-8.84 g (95% confidence interval [CI]-27.92 to 10.23; exact sign-flip p = 0.281). The corresponding exploratory 0-30 min difference was-4.90 g (95% CI-10.48 to 0.68; exact sign-flip p = 0.094). In a genotype-adjusted participant-level sensitivity analysis, the intervention coefficient for 120-min intake was-16.0 g (95% CI-30.9 to-1.1; p = 0.036). Session satisfaction was high in both arms with no clear between-arm difference. Next-day follow-up was 100%, and no adverse-event-related discontinuations occurred. ConclusionsThe intervention was feasible to deliver in a socially interactive drinking setting, and session satisfaction was high in both arms. Primary allocation-unit estimates favored lower alcohol intake but were imprecise. Larger trials are needed to estimate effects more precisely, while considering the potential influence of genotype imbalance on effect estimation in East Asian samples. Trial registrationUniversity Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN-CTR) UMIN000060685. Registered 17 February 2026.

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Exploring provider preferences in the design of HIV treatment packages integrating long-acting injectable antiretroviral therapy in New York Ryan White Part A medical case management programs

Zimba, R.; Kelvin, E. A.; Kulkarni, S.; Carmona, J.; Avoundjian, T.; Emmert, C.; Peterson, M.; Irvine, M.; Nash, D.

2026-04-23 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351494 medRxiv
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Introduction Understanding provider preferences for the design of HIV treatment packages could enhance the implementation of programs to support the adoption of long-acting injectable antiretroviral therapy (LAI ART) by people living with HIV who are interested in initiating this treatment modality. Methods We recruited providers from New York City (NYC), Rockland, Putman, and Westchester County Ryan White Part A Medical Case Management (MCM) programs to complete a discrete choice experiment (DCE) containing twelve tasks with two alternatives and an opt-out option, with additional survey questions about implementation readiness and choice motivations. The alternatives included four attributes--Type of ART Medication (monthly or bimonthly LAI ART), Service Location and Mode, Support for Clients, and Rewards for Clients--with 2-4 levels each. We ran latent class multinomial logit analyses (LCA) with 1-5 classes to estimate preferences and explore hypothesis-free preference heterogeneity. We estimated attribute influence using relative importances and preferences using zero-centered part-worth utilities for each level. Results One hundred seventy-seven providers completed the survey (July 2022-January 2023). About half (52%) were 40-59 years old, 72% identified as women, and the plurality (41%) identified as Latino/a. We chose the two-group LCA solution. Bimonthly LAI ART was preferred over monthly LAI ART overall and in both groups. Group 1 (n=45) preferred more traditional adherence supports (e.g., injections at the clinic by appointment, injection appointment reminders) whereas Group 2 (n=132) preferred more client-centered supports (e.g., injections at home by appointment, free transportation to injection appointments if at a clinic). Both groups preferred higher monetary value gift cards for clients for every on-time injection. The top-ranking motivations indicated that participants prioritized patient convenience over job satisfaction and administrative or financial feasibility for the agency. The scores for all implementation measures indicate readiness to implement LAI ART in both groups. Conclusions Our implementation science-focused study suggests that providers of MCM services in NYC and surrounding counties are motivated to offer services to support clients' access and adherence to LAI ART. More work is needed to understand how programs have, in fact, integrated supports for LAI ART into their services.

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Factors influencing repeated decisions to decline cervical cancer screening among women living with HIV in Jos, Nigeria: a qualitative study

Abubakar, A.; Inuwa, S. M.; Ali, M. J.; Abdullahi, K. M.; Doe, A.; Ngaybe, M. G. B.; Madhivanan, P.; Musa, J.

2026-04-23 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351475 medRxiv
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Women living with HIV face about a six-fold higher risk of cervical cancer, yet screening uptake remains low in many sub-Saharan African settings. We explored factors influencing repeated decisions to decline cervical cancer screening during routine HIV care among women living with HIV at a large HIV clinic in Jos, Nigeria. Between September and December 2024, we conducted an exploratory qualitative study at the AIDS Prevention Initiative in Nigeria Clinic in Jos, Nigeria. We purposively recruited 27 women living with HIV aged 21 to 65 years who had never undergone cervical cancer screening and had repeatedly declined screening offers during routine HIV care, including at the current clinic visit. Semi-structured in-depth interviews were conducted in English or Hausa, audio-recorded, transcribed verbatim, and translated into English where needed. Data were analyzed thematically using theory-informed coding based on the Health Belief Model and Social Ecological Model. Among 27 women living with HIV who had repeatedly declined screening, perceived susceptibility was often low or uncertain despite recognition of cervical cancer severity. Perceived benefits were acknowledged but were frequently outweighed by overlapping barriers, including knowledge gaps and misinformation, indirect and downstream costs, emotional barriers, logistical constraints, clinic-flow and service-delivery barriers, and anticipated stigma. Education, reminders, and supportive clinic processes acted as cues to action, and most participants expressed willingness to screen in future. Among women living with HIV at this clinic who repeatedly declined screening when it was offered, perceived benefits were often outweighed by multilevel barriers. Screening programs may integrate fear-reduction and stigma-sensitive counseling with practical service delivery improvements, including shorter waiting times, reduced indirect costs, predictable and streamlined clinic flow, and consistent provider invitations and reminders, while addressing misinformation through community-embedded, culturally tailored messaging. These strategies may improve screening uptake and support more equitable cervical cancer prevention for women living with HIV in similar HIV-care settings.

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A rights-based intervention integrating social work and ophthalmic care for people experiencing or at risk of homelessness

Hassani, A.; Pecar, K.; Soliman, M.; Bunyon, P.; Ellinger, C.; Tulysewskid, G.; Croft, J.; Carillo, C.; Wewegama, G.; du Plessis-Schneider, S.; Estevez, J. J.

2026-04-24 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351525 medRxiv
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Background Individuals experiencing or at risk of homelessness face substantial barriers to preventive eye care that are poorly addressed by standard service models. Interdisciplinary optometry-social work collaboration offers a rights-based approach to improving engagement and continuity of care. Methods A convergent mixed-methods study was conducted between February and August 2024 at a multidisciplinary community centre. Clients experiencing or at risk of homelessness received integrated optometry and social work assessment and were prioritised as high, medium, or low based on combined clinical and social risk. Social work follow-up was guided by the Triple Mandate and W-Questions framework. Quantitative data were summarised using mean (SD), median [IQR], or n (%). Qualitative case notes were analysed using content analysis with inductive coding and secondary review for consistency. Results A total of 165 clients had priority categories coded (high: 68; medium: 47; low: 154). Demographic data were available for 132 clients (60% male; mean age 49.5 years [SD 16]); 27% had not completed high school, 89% reported weekly income below AUD 1000, and 28% had vision impairment. Two hundred forty-five case-note entries were consolidated into 146 unique records. SMS (46%) and phone calls (38%) were the most documented contact methods, although only 21% of calls were answered; missed calls (13%) and disconnected numbers (7%) were common. Multi-modal contact was more frequently documented for higher-priority clients. Appointment assistance was the most recorded facilitator (71%), while rights-based supports, including interpreter and transport assistance, were infrequently documented (<=5%). Qualitative analysis identified unstable communication, reliance on informal supports, and service fragmentation as key influences on recall outcomes. Conclusion This study supports an interdisciplinary, rights-based optometry-social work model to address barriers to preventive eye care among people experiencing or at risk of homelessness. Embedding structured handovers and tiered recall processes within community-based services may strengthen continuity and accountability for high-priority clients. Future implementation should evaluate outcomes related to equity of reach, service integration, and sustained engagement in care.

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Most Instability Phases Resolve: Empirical Evidence for Trajectory Plasticity in Multimorbidity Care from Longitudinal Relational Monitoring

Martin, C. M.; henderson, i.; Campbell, D.; Stockman, K.

2026-04-24 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351537 medRxiv
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Background: The instability-plasticity framework proposes that multimorbidity trajectories periodically enter instability phases that are vulnerable to escalation but also potentially modifiable through relational intervention. Whether such phases commonly resolve without acute care, or predominantly progress to hospitalisation, has not been quantified at scale. Objective: To quantify instability window outcomes across a longitudinal monitoring cohort; to test whether the characteristics distinguishing admitted from resolved windows reflect within-patient trajectory dynamics or between-patient severity; and to characterise which patient-reported and operator-rated signals reliably precede admission, using both a curated pilot sub-cohort and the full monitoring cohort with an explicit cross-cohort comparison. Methods: Two complementary analyses were conducted on data from the MonashWatch Patient Journey Record (PaJR) relational telehealth system. Instability windows were identified algorithmically (>=2 consecutive calls with Total_Alerts >=3) across the full longitudinal dataset (16,383 calls, 244 patients, 2.5 years) and classified by linkage to ED and hospital admission data. Window characteristics were compared at window, patient, and paired within-patient levels. Pre-admission signal cascades were analysed in two configurations: a curated pilot sub-cohort (64 patients, 280 calls, +/-10-day window, 103 admissions, December 2016-September 2017) and the full monitoring cohort (175 patients, 1,180 pre-admission calls, +/-14-day window, December 2016-July 2019). A three-way cross-cohort comparison decomposed differences between the two configurations into pipeline and population effects. Results: 621 instability windows were identified across 157 patients (64% of the monitored cohort). 67.3% resolved without hospital admission or ED attendance, a rate stable across alert thresholds 1-5. In paired within-patient analysis (n = 70), duration in days (p = 0.002) and multi-domain breadth (p < 0.001) distinguished admitted from resolved windows; alert intensity did not. In the pilot sub-cohort, patient-reported illness prognosis (Q21) was the dominant pre-admission signal (GEE beta = +0.058, AUC = 0.647, p-BH = 0.018). This finding did not replicate in the full cohort: Q21 was non-significant (GEE beta = -0.008, p = 0.154, AUC = 0.507). Cross-cohort analysis identified selective curation of the pilot sub-cohort as the primary explanation. In the full cohort, six signals escalated significantly before admission after Benjamini-Hochberg correction: total alerts, health impairment (Q26), red alerts, self-rated health (Q3), patient concerns (Q1), and operator concern (Q34). Health impairment achieved the highest individual AUC (0.605) and showed the longest pre-admission lead. No individual signal exceeded AUC 0.61. Conclusions: Two thirds of instability phases resolve without hospitalisation, providing direct empirical support for trajectory plasticity as a clinically frequent phenomenon. Within the same patient, persistence - in duration and in the consistency of high-severity multi-domain flagging across calls - distinguishes trajectories that tip into admission from those that resolve. The Q21 signal reversal between cohorts illustrates how selective curation can produce compelling but non-replicable findings in monitoring research. In the full population, objective alert signals and operator judgement, rather than patient illness prognosis, carry the pre-admission signal

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Impact of prescription-free access to sexually transmitted infection screening tests in medical-biological laboratories: cross-sectional analysis of data from clinical laboratories in France.

Gil-Salcedo, A.; Gazzano, V.; Arsene, S.; Durand, A.; Roger, S.; Prots, L.; Laurencin, N.; Chanard, E.; Duez, A.; Le Naour, E.; Bausset, O.; Ghali, B.; Strzelecki, A.-C.; Felloni, C.; Levillain, R.; Fargeat, C.; Lefrancois, S.; Feuerstein, D.; Visseaux, B.; Escudie, L.; Visseaux, C.; Leclerc, C.; Haim-Boukobza, S.

2026-04-24 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351562 medRxiv
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Background: Since September 2024, France has implemented a national reform allowing prescription-free access (PFA) to sexually transmitted infection (STI) screening in medical biological laboratories (MBLs). This study aims to characterize the populations undergoing STI testing according to their access modality and evaluate the probability of test positivity in relation to testing pathway, sex, and age groups. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of all individuals screened for Chlamydia trachomatis, Gonorrhoea, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), hepatitis B virus (HBV), and syphilis by treponemal-specific immunoassay (TSI) in Cerballiance MBLs between Mars 2025 and February 2026. Multivariable logistic regression models stratified by sex and adjusted for age and region assessed associations between screening modality and STI positivity. Results: Among 1,008,737 individuals included, 27.8% were under PFA and 72.2 under prescription-based access (PBA). PFA users were more frequently male (47.4% vs. 36.3%, p<0.001) and aged 20-39 years (34.0%, p<0.001). Overall positivity rates differed by modality: PFA was associated with higher detection of Chlamydia (4.6% vs. 3.6%). PBA group showed more positive cases of syphilis (3.4% vs. 1.2%), HBV (1.3% vs. 0.4%), and HIV infections (0.3% vs. 0.2%, all p<0.001). Co-infection and gonorrhoea proportions did not significantly differ between modalities. Conclusions: PFA substantially increased STI screening uptake, particularly among young adults and men, and enhanced detection of bacterial STIs. PBA remains essential for diagnosing viral and chronic infections. These findings highlight the complementary roles of both access strategies and support PFA screening as an effective public health intervention to broaden STI detection and reduce transmission.

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Drivers and barriers to the implementation of the school feeding values-based food procurement guidelines and ultra-processed food restrictions

Fernandes Davies, V.; Perrut, I.; Thow, A.-M.; Duran, A. C.

2026-04-24 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351508 medRxiv
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Objective: To investigate in the National School Feeding Program (PNAE) the local level drivers and barriers to the implementation of four guidelines: the banning of sugary drinks; restrictions on the procurement of processed and ultra-processed foods; the mandatory increase in weekly servings of fruits and vegetables offered to students; and mandatory direct procurement from family farmers. Design: Qualitative study that used semi-structured interviews. Street level bureaucracy theory informed the theoretical framework and thematic analysis. Setting: Brazilian municipalities, across the country five geographic regions (North, Northeast, Southeast, South, and Midwest). Participants: Stakeholders (e.g. nutritionists, school cooks, and food procurement managers) involved in the local implementation of the PNAE program across the country. Results: Ninety stakeholders were interviewed. Stakeholders reported having autonomy to perform their activities, collaboration and support from other members within the local government and food providers, adequate infrastructure such as a well-equipped kitchens, the availability of trained personnel, and political commitment as drivers for optimum program implementation. Reported barriers included lack of support and resistance to change among cooks, teachers and parents; insufficient physical and human resources; and limited political commitment. When barriers outweighed drivers, interviewees reported adapting their practices, often in restrictive ways that could compromise the implementation of the program. Conclusions: Drivers and barriers to local PNAE implementation were generally similar across studied municipalities, although their magnitude varied. In contexts of greater economic vulnerability and fiscal constraint, additional support and targeted actions from the federal government may be required to strengthen local implementation

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Pediatric HIV Hotspots in Kenya: Machine Learning and Geostatistical Analysis for Enhanced Case Finding

ONOVO, A. A.; Omoro, G.; Maswai, J.; Owuoth, J.; Kirui, D.; Odero, L.; Makone, B.; Miruka, F.; Obat, E.; Yegon, P.

2026-04-27 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.24.26351710 medRxiv
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Background Although Kenya's HIV programme has long prioritized high-burden counties for intensified paediatric interventions, a critical evidence gap remains in developing integrated analytic frameworks that can objectively predict and validate paediatric HIV burden using data-driven models. We therefore developed and tested a framework that combines machine-learning (ML) prediction with geostatistical hotspot analysis, where a hotspot denotes a statistically significant spatial cluster of elevated paediatric HIV cases to strengthen data-driven surveillance and resource targeting. Methods National HIV testing data for children aged 0-14 years were analysed together with indicators from the 2022 Kenya Demographic and Health Survey. Multiple supervised ML algorithms were trained to predict the number of children living with HIV (CLHIV) across Kenya's 47 counties. Model performance was evaluated using root-mean-square and mean-absolute error. The tuned Lasso-regression model demonstrated the best predictive accuracy and generated county-level estimates for October 2022 to June 2023. These predictions were subsequently assessed for spatial autocorrelation (Moran's I) and validated using Getis-Ord Gi* statistics. Findings The model predicted 3160 newly identified CLHIV during the study period, compared with 3092 cases reported nationally. To account for differences in county population size, paediatric HIV incidence was calculated as cases per 10,000 children aged 0-14 years using 2023 census projections as the denominator. Incidence-based choropleth maps revealed that the highest reported burden was concentrated in Isiolo (11.2 per 10,000) and western Kenya (Homa Bay 7.7, Kisumu 3.6, Siaya 3.5), while model predictions identified additional high-incidence counties in eastern and northern regions. Significant spatial clustering was confirmed for both reported (z = 3.23, Moran's I = 0.22, p = 0.001) and predicted (z = 4.92, Moran's I = 0.37, p < 0.001) distributions. Thirteen counties, predominantly in western Kenya, were identified as statistically significant hotspots. Interpretation This study presents a validated methodological framework integrating ML prediction with geostatistical analysis for paediatric HIV surveillance. By expressing model outputs as population-adjusted incidence, the framework enables equitable comparison of paediatric HIV burden across counties of differing size, strengthening the evidence base for geographic prioritization and resource allocation. Funding This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.

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Design and preliminary safety validation of a hybrid deterministic-AI triage system for multilingual primary healthcare: a WhatsApp-based vignette study in South Africa

Nkosi-Mjadu, B. E.

2026-04-22 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.21.26349781 medRxiv
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BackgroundSouth Africas public healthcare system serves most of the population through approximately 3,900 primary healthcare clinics characterised by long waiting times and high volumes of repeat-prescription visits. No published pre-arrival digital triage system operates across all 11 official South African languages while aligning with the South African Triage Scale (SATS). This paper reports the design and preliminary safety validation of BIZUSIZO, a hybrid deterministic-AI WhatsApp triage system. MethodsBIZUSIZO delivers SATS-aligned triage via WhatsApp, combining AI-assisted free-text classification (Claude Haiku 4.5) with a Deterministic Clinical Safety Layer (DCSL) that overrides AI output for 53 clinical discriminator categories (14 RED, 19 ORANGE, 20 YELLOW) coded in all 11 official languages and independent of AI availability. A five-domain risk factor assessment can only upgrade triage level. One hundred and twenty clinical vignettes in patient language (English, isiZulu, isiXhosa, Afrikaans; 30 per language) were scored against a developer-assigned gold standard with independent blinded nurse review. A 121-vignette multilingual DCSL safety consistency check across all 11 languages and a 220-call post-hoc framing sensitivity evaluation (110 paired vignettes) were also conducted. ResultsUnder-triage was 3.3% (4/120; 95% CI: 0.9%-8.3%) with no RED under-triage; exact concordance was 80.0% (96/120) and quadratic weighted kappa 0.891 (95% CI: 0.827-0.932). One two-level under-triage was observed on a non-RED presentation (V072, isiXhosa burns vignette, ORANGEGREEN); one two-level over-triage was observed (V054, isiZulu deep laceration, YELLOWRED). In the framing sensitivity evaluation, AI-only classification achieved 50.9% RED invariance under adversarial framing; full-pipeline classification achieved 95.0% in four validated languages, with the DCSL rescuing 18 of 23 AI drift cases. ConclusionsA hybrid deterministic-AI triage system with DCSL-based emergency detection achieved zero RED under-triage and consistent RED detection across all 11 official languages. The 16.7% over-triage rate falls within published South African SATS ranges (13.1-49%). A single two-level under-triage event was observed on an isiXhosa burns vignette (ORANGEGREEN) and is discussed in Limitations. Findings are preliminary; prospective validation against independent nurse triage is the necessary next step.